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Predictions for 30th Dáil

The following programmes, publications and individuals were brave enough to stick their necks out with predictions for the shape of the 30th Dáil:

2002 General Election Result

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
81 31 21 8 6 5 1 13 166
Seamus Pattison was returned automatically as Ceann Comhairle,
but he is counted as a Labour TD for the comparisons below

Saturday View

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
65 46 21 2 10 11 2 9 166
-16 +15 - -6 +4 +6 +1 -4

RTE Election Book

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
70 43 24 3 7 10 2 7 166
-11 +12 +3 -5 +1 +5 +1 -6

Village Magazine

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
71 44 22 3 9 7 2 8 166
-10 +13 +1 -5 +3 +2 +1 -5

Irish Times

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
67 47 22 3 10 9 1 7 166
-14 +16 +1 -5 +4 +4 - -6

Ivan Yates (News at One)

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
68 47 19 1 10 11 2 8 166
-13 +16 -2 -7 +4 +6 +1 -5

Noel Whelan (News at One)

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
68 50 20 3 9 9 2 5 166
-13 +19 -1 -5 +3 +4 +1 -8

Nick Coffey (Drivetime)

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
67 47 20 2 10 10 2 8 166
-14 +16 -1 -6 +4 +5 +1 -5

Seán Donnelly (Vincent Browne election night show)

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
76 40 20 4 9 7 1 9 166
-5 +9 -1 -4 +3 +2 - -4

Average of All Predictions

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge PD Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
69 46 21 3 9 9 2 8 166
-13 +15 - -6 +3 +5 +1 -5

2007 General Election Result

FF Lozenge FG Lozenge LB Lozenge GP Lozenge SF Lozenge PD Lozenge SP Lozenge Others Lozenge TOTAL
78 51 20 6 4 2 0 5 166
-3 +20 -1 - -1 -6 -1 -8
Rory O'Hanlon was returned automatically as Ceann Comhairle,
but he is counted as a Fianna Fáil TD in the above comparison
 
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